Wednesday, December 5, 2012

Cutting to the Chase: The Triumphs and Tragedies of Chase Utley


Matt Hoover


There are some things in the world that give me so much joy that I can’t really explain to you how much I like them. I’d normally give you a drawn out list of examples of these things right now, but I’m trying to keep this thing short. You’ll recall the monstrously long Tim Duncan thing I posted last week. If anyone has finished reading that yet, I’d like to take up just another minute of your time and apologize for the length there. But anyway, yeah… I like some things a lot. Chase Utley is one of them. I’m going to talk about why and just how good Utley was/is (but mostly was).

As a perennial Philadelphia Phillies fan, it hardly seems appropriate or possible for me to attempt to place Chase Utley’s career into context in an unbiased way. I’m a giant Chase Utley fan. The late, great Harry Kalas was right; Chase Utley is the man. Not only is he the greatest second baseman I have ever seen play baseball, but also he could beat the shit out of everybody that you love. Keep that in mind going forward. He is also the perennial hit-by-pitch king of baseball, and has the all time best stolen base success rate in the history of Major League Baseball. The dude is a “straight G,” as the kids say. But yes. I have a pro-Utley bias. I still don’t think anything I’m about to say is unwarranted, though.

A few years ago when Jason Werth was still a Phillie, there
was a rumor that Chase Utley's wife was having an affair with
Werth. I'm pretty sure it ended up being false, but I was really
hoping that it would end up being true just so I could have
seen Utley beat every last ounce of shit out of that
long haired, poor fielding punk.
In his peak, Chase Utley, along with Joe Morgan and Jackie Robinson, was one of the three best second basemen to play his entire career in the live ball era (1920 onward). Utley’s bad knees cost us an opportunity to witness a career that could have been literally one of the greatest ever in Major League Baseball. These may seem like absurd claims, but I have two ways of basking them up. The first way involves me going on and on comparing Utley’s yearly statistics with various hall of fame second basemen, but no one wants to read that. Instead, I’m going to choose option number two: talking about wins above replacement, or WAR. I’m strongly pro sabermetrics; if you’re not on the sabermetrics bandwagon yet, it may interest you to know that science has recently proven that the Earth is, in fact, not flat. GET WITH THE TIMES, MAN! My purpose here isn’t to explain or argue about sabermetrics with you, though, but if you want to know more about them, start here.

Firstly, some stats on Utley. During the five seasons from 2005 to 2009, Utley accumulated a WAR of 38.8. That’s an average of about 7.7 WAR per season. Utley peaked in 2008 with an 8.8 WAR. That all sounds nice, but what does it mean? The only player in all of baseball that accumulated a higher WAR than Utley during this five-year period was Albert Pujols, who also happens to be considered by almost everyone that knows anything about baseball the best position player of the last decade. The WAR gap between Pujols (43.1) and Utley (38.8) is small, but the gap between Utley and Alex Rodriguez (32.7), number three on the list, is a bit larger. The gap between Utley and Brian Roberts (23.7), the next second basemen on the list, is immense. Utley was easily the best second baseman in baseball and was probably one of the two best players during the five-year period from 2005 to 2009. Other stats point to all of this being true as well; I only focus on WAR because it’s all encompassing and fairly easy to understand.

Clearly, Utley was one of the most dominant players in the game during his prime, but how does his prime compare to those of the great second basemen of MLB’s past? In short, very, very well. The primes of the twelve hall of fame live ball era second basemen ranged from two years to seven years. The only two players that averaged a higher WAR than Utley during their primes were Joe Morgan and Jackie Robinson. At his best, Utley was better than players like Ryne Sandberg and Charlie Gehringer. Certainly nothing to sneeze at.

Utley’s prime is as good as or better than an average hall of fame live ball era second basemen. Where his hall of fame resume suffers is longevity. As I mentioned before, his knees continue to hamper him from becoming one of the all time greats. This tragedy stings me whenever I begin to dwell upon it, but it’s tough to complain too much about Utley, seeing as I was still given the opportunity to enjoy the primes of one of the best players in the league at the time. We currently may be witnessing the rise of a second baseman who could become one of the all time greats in Robinson Cano (Apologies Red Sox people; Pedroia isn’t as good.), but it is too early in Cano’s career to know this for sure. As for the man, though, it will be interesting to see whether his fantastic prime will be enough to propel him all the way to Cooperstown when the time comes. Crazier things have happened. My heart tells me that he has a case, but my head is less sure. Maybe if he can put a few more solid years together, my head will change its mind.

Statistics from Baseball-Reference.

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